Dinesh

Dinesh club

Posted: 08 Sep 2017


Taken: 08 Sep 2017

0 favorites     1 comment    137 visits

See also...


Keywords

Author
Michael Shermer
Excerpt
How We Believe
Chapter
Glorious Contingency


Authorizations, license

Visible by: Everyone
All rights reserved

Photo replaced on 08 Sep 2017
137 visits


Contingency

Contingency
Many of those who oppose the idea of predominantly contingent universe have misread contingency for 'accidental' or 'random.' Jack Cohen and Ian Stewart, for example, have stated explicitly that, "The survivors, who produced us, did so by contingency, by sheerest accident;" "Gould [argues] that contingency -- randomness -- plays a major role in the result of evolution....." and Gould "sees the evolution of humanity as being accidental, purely contingent." Yet Gould states quite clearly in 'Wonderful Life':

"I am not speaking of randomness, but of the central principle of all history -- contingency. A historical explanation does not rest on direct deductions from laws of nature, but on an unpredictable sequence of antecedent states, where any major change in any step of the sequence would have altered the final result. This final result is therefore dependent, or contingent, upon everything that came before -- the un-erasable and determining signature of history."

As Gould notes, contingency is an unpredictable sequence of antecedent states, not randomness, chanciness, or accident. ~ Page 218

Comments
 Dinesh
Dinesh club
HOW WE BELIEVE
6 years ago.

Sign-in to write a comment.